For the past four years, Palestinians have been deeply frustrated with the White House.
The United States Embassy in Israel has been moved to Jerusalem, the Palestinian mission in Washington DC has been closed, and financial assistance to the Palestinians has been reduced.
Last January, President Trump presented his plan for a two-state solution, but it was immediately rejected by the Palestinians.
Everyone knows that the Palestinians absolutely hate Trump, and they were never going to agree to a deal that affected him.
So that meant that as long as Trump was in the White House, it was extremely unlikely that we would see a Palestinian state.
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But now it looks like everything could change. When Joe Biden was declared the winner of the presidential election by the American media, the Palestinians rejoiced greatly. They are absolutely thrilled that Trump can disappear soon, and they desperately hope that American foreign policy under the Biden administration will look a lot like it was during the eight years of the Obama administration.
Of course, Barack Obama was a tireless proponent of a two-state solution based on the 1967 lines, and many in the Middle East predict that there could be a major push to finally make it a reality during a Biden presidency. The following is from a Jerusalem Post article titled “Biden Presidency Resurrects 67 Lines, Palestinian State – Analysis” …
The presidency of US President-elect Joe Biden will erase many of the Israeli right-wing gains over the past four years with regard to Israeli sovereignty over Area C of the West Bank – and reintroduce the concept of a two-state solution to the conflict Israeli-Palestinian to the pre-1967 lines.
The Trump administration had also advocated a two-state solution, but the map that officials in the Trump administration were envisioning was very different from what the Palestinians were considering.
And even though they were about to be on the same page, Palestinian officials just weren’t in the mood to make a deal with Trump because of so many other moves he has. decided to do …
He cut US aid to the Palestinian Authority in the occupied West Bank, officially recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, and moved the US embassy to Tel Aviv. Trump has refused to condemn settlement building and expansion as illegal – in defiance of international law. It also withdrew funding from the UN agency for refugees, on which millions of Palestinians depend for education, food and livelihoods.
Trump also negotiated “normalization” agreements with three Arab countries that recognized Israel without even demanding Palestinian gains in return, leaving the Palestinian leadership increasingly isolated.
But with Trump on the sidelines, the Palestinians will be very excited to return to the negotiating table, and that’s because Joe Biden and the Democrats seem eager enough to give the Palestinians what they want.
The 2020 Democratic Party platform declares that the creation of a “viable” Palestinian state is the official position of the Democratic Party …
The Democratic Party’s 2020 Platform, which calls for the creation of a “viable” Palestinian state, in which Palestinians “should be free to govern themselves”, and explicitly opposes “unilateral action” by each side, is a starting point. Democratic strategist Joel Rubin, who served as director of Jewish outreach for the Bernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaign, wrote in Israeli newspaper Haaretz that he was “the most realistic and progressive of its kind.”
And Joe Biden has repeatedly stated that he wants to see a two-state solution based on the 1967 lines …
In an interview with the New York Times in February, he affirmed his support for a two-state solution based on the pre-1967 lines, but explained that he supported the long-standing Israeli maintenance of the settlements, without defining what he meant.
For the Israeli right, the setback is huge, given that this summer Israel seemed to be on the verge of annexation – and now it seems that possibility is all but buried.
Perhaps more importantly, Kamala Harris is a big supporter of a Palestinian state. As I discussed yesterday, it is quite clear that Biden will not be able to serve in the White House for very long and that it will only be a matter of time before Harris is elevated to the presidency.
In an interview just a few weeks ago, Harris made it very clear how she felt about a Palestinian state …
“Joe and I believe in the worth and worth of every Palestinian and every Israeli and we will work to ensure that Palestinians and Israelis enjoy equal measures of freedom, security, prosperity and democracy,” Harris said. “We are committed to a two-state solution and we will oppose any unilateral action that undermines that goal.
We will also oppose annexation and settlement expansion. And we will take immediate steps to restore economic and humanitarian aid to the Palestinian people, address the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Gaza, reopen the US consulate in East Jerusalem, and work to reopen the PLO mission in Washington. .
If Trump’s legal challenges fail and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are inaugurated next January, I think it’s very, very likely that we’ll see the establishment of a Palestinian state at some point in the next four. years.
If this happens, a major red line will have been crossed and there will be no turning back.
In my new book, I detail a lot of things we should expect to see after the establishment of a Palestinian state. Once you understand the consequences of dividing the Land of Israel, you will never look at foreign policy the same again.
Unfortunately, most Americans do not care much about foreign policy these days.
In fact, foreign policy considerations weren’t much of a factor at all when voters went to the polls on November 4.
But the truth is that the outcome of this election will really matter in the Middle East.
If Trump’s legal challenges are successful and he ends up winning, there will likely not be a Palestinian state for the next four years.
But if Joe Biden and Kamala Harris win, I believe a Palestinian state will almost certainly be created within the next four years.
The stakes are incredibly high, and it won’t be long before we know which direction things are going to go.
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