Last week, pollster Nate Silver was so confident in a Biden victory that he suggested the only way for Trump to be re-elected would be through “ major poll error ” or cheating.
Nate Silver is spreading unfounded speculation that the only way Trump can win is by stealing the election. This is irresponsible and will ensure that a Trump victory will not be accepted by Democrats.
– @amuse (@amuse) October 27, 2020
This weekend, however, Silver made a giant warning in weeks of confidently proclaiming a victory for Biden: Pennsylvania.
“Pennsylvania didn’t climb to a 7 or 8 point lead in Biden like we see in Michigan and Wisconsin. It’s 5 points, ”said Silver ABC“This Week” (sporting a new “fighting beard”) adding that if Trump were to win, “It would come back to Pennsylvania.”
Silver then fixes the expectation of an unfair vote, saying: “Among the votes that were sent by mail, there are provisions for a bare ballot, a security envelope. This could complicate matters. You could involve the courts. You have protests, looting in Philadelphia. A lot is going on. “
It’s already coming out of Pelosi and Biden’s voice. The flight is coming, and that’s pretty much what you need to do to prepare for what’s to come.
Then, Silver says if Biden doesn’t win PA he will become the underdog.
“Maybe a lot of the little things add up and Biden loses Pennsylvania by half a point and then he just doesn’t quite get out of Arizona or North Carolina. He has other options. … But still, without Pennsylvania, then Biden becomes an outsider.
A few days before November 3, the @FiveThirtyEight According to the presidential election prediction, Joe Biden has a 90-in-100 chance of winning the Electoral College.@ NateSilver538 break down the forecasts: https://t.co/5MmblAJP8o pic.twitter.com/wrDdKLFdA6
– This week (@ThisWeekABC) November 1, 2020
Sunday the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette endorsed President Trump – his first GOP endorsement in nearly 50 years.
This newspaper has not backed a Republican for president since 1972. But we think President Trump, for all his faults, is the better choice this year.
Via @pgopinions https://t.co/dZYEQp3pGY
– Pittsburgh Post-Gazette (@PittsburghPG) November 1, 2020
BOOM! Philadelphia Police and Fire Union Endorses Trump! They never approved a Republican presidential candidate.
– FloridaDude297 (@ FloridaDude297) November 1, 2020
Meanwhile, Trump drew massive crowds across Pennsylvania, including Butler County where tens of thousands of supporters traveled to this Epoch Times described as “a scene more reminiscent of a rock concert than a political event”.
Responding to the crowd, PA Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman (R) said, “Donald Trump is doing things that have never been done in Pennsylvania in terms of a brutal barn in tiny Pennsylvania County,” adding: “It’s hard to predict with any certainty how this will activate not only its voter base from 2016 onwards, but also those who avoided it. “
Fetterman then sounded the alarm to his fellow Democrats who are pinning their hopes on Democratic candidate Joe Biden who wins Keystone State. Pennsylvania and its 20 Electoral College votes would provide a significant boost in winning the 270 votes needed to win the White House.
“I’m not saying Donald Trump is going to win Pennsylvania, but what I’m saying is he’s doing everything he can to maximize his chances,” he said. –Epoch Times
She’s with Politico. This is not MAGA propaganda.
I can’t fake a crowd like that. But you * can * make sure you show up and get every vote.
Every vote counts.
Bring them in.
– John Fetterman (@JohnFetterman) November 1, 2020
Money gave Trump a 10% chance of winning, compared to the 28.6% chance it gave Trump against Clinton in 2016.
And here’s Nate’s giant hedge:
#Nate #Silver #covers #Biden #win #Trump #draws #megacrowds #Pennsylvania #Dateway