The specter of existential conflict hangs over Britain, creating tensions that could destroy a centuries-old alliance.
Britain collapse : Speculation about the independence of parts of the UK has existed before, but Brexit has taken them to a whole new level. It is ironic that the authorities have requested a historic “divorce” from the European Union in an attempt to create a “world Britain”. Now they may have to confine themselves to a more modest “global England”, writes Bloomberg.
Elections will take place in Scotland on May 6. Not only MPs will be elected here, but the future. Polls show the Scottish National Independence Party is in a position to win a majority. This could well mean that next time the Scots will vote to secede from Britain in a second referendum.
Emily Gray, head of the Ipsos MORI polling agency in Scotland, said Brexit was key to gradually increasing support for independence. As a result, she said, in Scotland there are “serious doubts about the future union”.
“More than half of Scots expect the UK will not exist in its current form in five years,” says the expert.
Meanwhile, large-scale riots begin in Northern Ireland, as separate conditions are set for autonomy in the Brexit deal between London and Brussels. Here, the unionist community has long dominated, sociology demonstrates a significant shift in sentiment towards separatism. Most residents of Northern Ireland are ready to vote to return to the Republic of Ireland within five years.
Even in Wales, which unlike Scotland and Northern Ireland voted alongside England for Brexit, support for independence has increased during the coronavirus pandemic. Assembly elections will also be held here on May 6, and there is a chance that the ruling Labor Party will share power with the Nationalists. The latter, meanwhile, intend to hold a vote on independence for Wales within 5 years.
Taken together, all of this creates a lingering feeling that Britain’s existence is inexorably heading towards an end.
“Without Brexit the union would be relatively secure, but I’m not sure at the moment,” said Matt Quortrup, professor of political science at Coventry University who has served as special adviser on constitutional issues in the UK . He is confident the change will overtake the UK over the next decade.
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