A pollster taking into account Trump’s “hidden vote” says President Trump is ahead in several battlefield states, despite various national polls to the contrary.
Just four days before Election Day, Robert Cahaly of the Trafalgar Group, who correctly predicted Trump’s victory in 2016, says he sees Trump in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Michigan.
Cahaly explained that one reason is that many voters give pollsters misleading answers.
“I really think it’s going to be a surprise,” Cahaly said in an interview with The Washington Times. “I think people are lying to pollsters.”
According to Cahaly, Trump leads by three points in Florida, 49% to 46.9%.
Likewise, Trump has a similar lead in Michigan, from 49% to 46.6%.
In Pennsylvania, where President Trump has four more rallies scheduled for Saturday, Cahaly sees Trump with a one-point advantage over Joe Biden, from 48.4% to 47.6%.
And in North Carolina, which turned red in 2016, the president is up from 48.8% to 46%.
In The Badger State, Wisconsin, where Trump narrowly won by a percentage point in the last election, Biden is ahead, but only 0.4%, which puts him on the line for president.
The pollster says, as in 2016, Trump could sail to a landslide victory if the covert vote is factored in.
“I see the president winning with a minimum [electoral vote count in the] 270 and maybe a lot higher depending on how big that undercurrent is, ”Cahaly told Fox News Sean Hannity last week.
“What we’ve noticed is that these polls mostly miss Trump’s hidden vote,” he told Hannity. “There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people who favor the president that they are not interested in sharing their opinions easily… These people… are more reluctant to take polls. So if you don’t make up for that … you won’t get honest answers.
In an eleventh-hour campaign blitz, the president scheduled five more rallies for Sunday, including in Macomb County, Michigan, Dubuque, Iowa, Hickory, North Carolina, Rome, Georgia and ending in Opa-locka, Florida.
The campaign also has five additional rallies scheduled for Monday.
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